There are two techniques of analyses to make here
- Subjunctivity
- Phrase factorization
A subjunctive mood is expressed in one of the following patterns:
- Impossibility
- Uncertainty and/or Optative (having a choice) mood
- Retrospective (what-if)
Let us factorize the sentences:
He would have {
had {
to have {been there}
}
}.
vs
He would have {
had {
to be there
}
}.
Let us simplify the above by looking at the outermost possessive layer.
He would have { complex/simple possessable entity }.
For example,
- He would have { a friend }.
- He would have { the chance to explain his not having had a friend }.
The construct of the outermost possessive layer is subjunctive. Let us conjure an optative atmosphere to illustrate:
Samy is not here. If he were here, he would have {a friend}.
If Samy were here, he would bring a friend with him.
Let us peel into the 2nd layer:
Samy is not here. If he were here, he would have {had {a friend}}.
If Samy were here, he would have experienced having had a friend, but I am not sure if he still has a friend.
Let us analyse the actual sentences by injecting a reason.
Let us analyse the 1st layer again:
Samy is a liar. He says he has been to Israel. If he has, he would have
{been to Tel Aviv}.
Epiphany 0:
Samy is thinking of going to Israel.
If he goes, he would have
{the need to land in Tel Aviv}.
He would have {to be in Tel Aviv}.
Epiphany 1:
Samy is a liar. He says he went to Israel.
If he did, he would have
{had {the need to land in Tel Aviv}}.
He would have
{had
{to be in Tel Aviv}
}.
Epiphany 2:
Now, analyse the 3rd layer:
Samy is a liar. He says he had been to Israel before I went with him last month. If he had been to Israel before our trip together he would
have
{had
{ to have
{been to Ben Gurion}
}
}
But when I asked him, while the plane was landing, he had no idea what Ben Gurion is.
Answer:
Therefore, the difference is between epiphanies 1 & 2:
- Claiming that he went to Israel on the last trip.
- Claiming that he had been to Israel before the last trip.
Subjunctivity Analysis
To satisfy tchrist's inquiry ...
Present subjunctive:
He would have a friend.
Past subjunctive:
He would have had a friend.
Past subjunctive:
He would have had to be there.
Bayesian-styled past perfect predicate subjected to a past subjunctive uncertainty:
He would have had to have been a friend.
He would have had to have been there.
Present perfect predicate being a subjunctive wish subjected to a past subjunctive uncertainty:
He would have had the wish of having had been there.
Past perfect predicate subjected to a past subjunctive wish which is subjected to another past subjunctive uncertainty:
He would have had the wish where he would have had to have been a there.
Bayesian probability explanation:
Event B can happen if and only if event A happens. What is the cumulative chance of Event B happening at all, given that
- Event A has a 0.4 uncertain chance of occurring and
- that Event B has a 0.6 uncertain chance of occurring, after Event A has happened?
Given the following cascading of events, the next occurring only if the previous had occurred, what is the cumulative chance of Event En+1 occurring?
- Event E1 = 0.5
- Event E1/E2 = 0.7
- .....
- Event En/En+1 = Pk.
Example of Bayesian-style cascaded/hierarchical subjunctivity:
He would have had to have been having to have the privilege to have been experiencing the shock of having had the encounter against an adversary who might have had been having had the worst form of defence ever.