Personally, as someone who has written scientific papers, I would leave it as you have it written now. Note, none have the changes.
Projected changes in surface air temperature...
We first update our analysis of surface temperature change based on... (PNAS)
The Effects of Temperature Changes on Salivary Amylase Activity... (JDR)
Common triggers of nonallergic rhinitis are changes in weather and temperature (CCJM)
change in temperature, humidity, or barometric pressure or exposure to cold or dry air (CCJM)
...in terms of change in temperature over a period of... (Scientific American)
Structural models in response to change in temperature based on ... (Nature)