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Expect: how to disambiguate duel meaning?

There seems to be two different meanings of the word 'explain' in common spoken English.

For example, 'I expect you to tidy your room this evening'. This is like a demand, in that the person speaking is asking someone to do something, and almost treat it like an order.

The second meaning is in a sentence like 'I expect it's going to rain tomorrow'. This isn't an order, merely relating what they think will happen in the future.

I don't believe either of the above examples would be ambiguous to a true native speaker to due to context, but the sentence 'I expect not to hear from you again' would be.

Is there a way to disambiguate these uses?