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Does he/she mean to say, without a stronger president, it would be hard for the EU to deal with Turkey since the country is in turmoil?

Turkey will remain pivotal after April 16th. If Mr Erdogan loses, Turkey will be a difficult ally with a difficult future. But if he wins, he will be able to govern as an elected dictator.

The Economist, April 15, 2017, Turkey is sliding into dictatorship http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21720590-recep-tayyip-erdogan-carrying-out-harshest-crackdown-decades-west-must-not-abandon

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  • No. They mean that if the referendum does not result in the new system striven for by Erdogan, the future of Turkey will be unclear and therefore difficult. This is a problem since an uncertain future in a turmoil-stricken country is not what you want if this country is your (military) ally. Apr 15, 2017 at 8:46
  • Thank you for your comment, but I don't clearly understand what you mean by "the new system striven for by Erdogan." I would appreciate if you would give me more explanation.
    – Bakebake
    Apr 15, 2017 at 8:52
  • I could also have said, "the new system wanted by Erdogan". I'm referring to the constitutional referendum that, if approved, will replace the current parliamentary system with a presidential system. Apr 15, 2017 at 8:58
  • But if he loses, there would be no changes in the constitution. Am I right?
    – Bakebake
    Apr 15, 2017 at 9:05
  • If I got the whole affair right, that's correct, yes. Apr 15, 2017 at 9:14

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The Turkish Constitutional Referendum of 2017 is a vote to determine whether 18 proposed amendments to the Turkish constitution should be implemented.

The author of the article you reference thinks this is a bad idea, and lists several reasons.

The quote really needs the conjoining 'but' to make sense:

If Mr Erdogan loses, Turkey will be a difficult ally with a difficult future. But if he wins, he will be able to govern as an elected dictator.

This says that if Mr. Erdogan loses, Turkey will (still) be a difficult ally to have, and Turkey will (still) have a difficult time ahead. But if Mr. Erdogan wins, then (according to the author) this will be a political disaster for Turkey (Erdogan will become a dictator).

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  • I really appreciate your answer. Thank you very much.
    – Bakebake
    Apr 15, 2017 at 12:08

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