Is there a semantic difference between
What's going on? and
What's happening?. Can they be used interchangeably?
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Yes, they can. But consider this difference:
"What's going on?" can also be accusatory, as in "What's going on here? I didn't give permission for you to have a party in my house!"
"What's happening?" ranges from innocuous to friendly. It's a "defanged" version of "What's going on?" But most of the time, the latter statement is innocuous as well.
It's the same with a little difference on each.
What's going on? something "running" that continues to happening right now
What's happening? as Event and occurrence.